Best July 4 WNBA Picks: The Smart Way to Bet Mystics vs Aces

Best July 4 WNBA Picks: The Smart Way to Bet Mystics vs Aces article feature image
Credit:

Kelsey Plum #10 of the Las Vegas Aces (Photo by David Becker/NBAE via Getty Images)

Mystics vs. Aces WNBA Odds Thursday, July 4

Mystics Logo
Thursday, Jul 4
10:00 p.m. ET
Aces Logo
Mystics Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+16.5
-109
169.5
-113o / -113u
+1200
Aces Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-16.5
-115
169.5
-113o / -113u
-3335
Odds via BetRivers. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.
BetRivers Logo

There's a smart way to bet Mystics vs. Aces Thursday — and the proof's in the pudding.

PRO Systems lit up with an intriguing July 4 edge, identifying a 59% betting trend for the WNBA night cap. And Thursday's Mystics vs. Aces odds are some of the longest you'll see all season.

The Aces are -16.5 (-115) against the spread, opposite Washington (+16.5, -109). The moneyline's set at Mystics +1200, implying an upset probability of about 7.7%. Thursday's Mystics vs. Aces over/under, meanwhile, is 169.5, -113 both ways.

Both teams are coming off wins. Ultimately, that information is crucial in teeing up an intricate, 59% win-rate model for Thursday's WNBA picks.


Best July 4 WNBA Picks: The Smart Way to Bet Mystics vs Aces

The two-time reigning champion Aces are finally on track.

They've ripped off five straight (four covers) wins, directly following an 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight-up slump. On Thursday, they'll close as the largest favorite in a game since May 25.

Vegas is indeed heating up. However,