Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Firstly, the Orioles sit at 84-68 overall, while the Giants are 74-78, a good-sized difference in performance. In terms of home and away splits, it's greatly larger in Baltimore's favor, as the Orioles sit at 42-35 at home, while the Giants are 33-41 on the road. It's also gotten off to poor starts after wins being just 2-7 in their last 9 games after a win. Eflin has been in great form, as he heads into this start with a 2.33 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his last three outings. In that same timeframe, Logan Webb owns a 6.75 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. During his last three assignments, Webb has allowed 13 earned runs in 16 innings of work. For instance, while Webb's last start against Baltimore saw him allow 3 earned runs in 7 innings. In addition, Eflin's control is superior, with less walks and hits allowed compared to Webb. Another important factor that makes them the favorite here is Baltimore's offense. They are also 2nd in home runs with 218, 6th in OPS at .748, and 6th in runs per game with 4.8, while San Francisco ranks considerably lower at 21st in OPS at .698 and 17th in runs per game with 4.26. On the mound, Baltimore also has the edge with a 3.95 team ERA and a 1.24 WHIP to San Francisco's 4.14 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Baltimore's bullpen is more solid, at this stage with a 3.86 home ERA, while Giant relievers have really labourerd on the road with a 4.59 ERA. The Orioles also hit better at home, carrying a higher team batting average (.247) and on-base percentage (.314) than San Francisco's .230 batting average and .304 on-base percentage on the road. With the Orioles putting up a much higher run production per game this season at 4.86 runs per contest to 4.34 for the Giants, their offense is more dependable in this contest.